It is now clear that Trump is adopting a strategy similar to Richard Nixon in 1968, focusing on ‘law and order’ first, with the message that the causes of current US economic discontent are a consequence of breakdown of law and order. Trump, like Nixon before, by linking the two issues of ‘law and order’ and ‘economic discontent’ (and in turn linking the breakdown of law and order with immigration as its cause) is telling disaffected American voters that law and order is a solution to their economic fears and concerns. ‘Law and Order’ and ‘Anti-Immigration’ are themes designed to deflect voter attention from the real causes of the continuing collapse of US living standards for tens of millions–for which Trump in his speech has made no real proposals.
For more on Trump’s ‘Law and Order’ and ‘Bash the Immigrants’ in lieu of policies and proposals to do something about US economic conditions, listen to my July 22 Alternative Visions radio show commentary, and why Trump has a better chance of winning the November election than mainstream pundits and press think.
Trump is unlike all the other candidates, Republican and Democrat alike, in the current election cycle. Nor is he like Reagan. Like Nixon, he is another high risk taker and ‘roll the dice’ wheeler-dealer who will risk all the get elected. And if elected, will engage in high risk adventures that will destabilize a global capitalist system already growing increasingly weak and unstable.
For more on this analysis….
Jack examines in detail Trump’s acceptance speech and its non-traditional Republican themes criticizing Free Trade, US national debt, NAFTA, China, offshoring, taxes, military spending-NATO, and related topics. Trade issues are paramount but represent pandering to working class discontent over the loss of jobs, wage income decline, and chronic US economic insecurity since 2000. Trump’s specific proposals for trade are dissected, including his claims to ‘tear up’ NAFTA, impose 35%-45% tariffs on Mexico and China, stop China currency manipulation, offshoring, anti-immigration wall, etc.—all of which represent pandering to working class discontent. Trumponomics = ‘Law and Order First’ economic recovery plan. How Trump is cleverly targeting disaffected working class voters in key swing states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida as key to an electoral victory in November. Jack predicts the election outcome will depend on who, Trump or Clinton, is able to turn in those states the white working class, un- and under-employed 20-something youth, Hispanic, and independents voting blocs in those key states. Who has the bigger base, and who (Trump or Hillary) can turn out more of that base in these key states will determine the outcome. Trump has the advantage currently in turnout, Jack concludes as Hispanics and disaffected youth may sit home during the election. Trump could win. Much will depend on the TV debates.